http://savagestate.net

•4 April 2008 • Leave a Comment

New webpage @ http://savagestate.net

Update yer bookmarks.

Major Shifts||—>||

•25 September 2007 • Leave a Comment

 From August 8th, 2007:

Well, it has been a hectic few days. A lot is going on in a very short time. I’m just under  year from graduating but I’ve decided to take a semester off to volunteer & travel. My parents just completed adopting my new sister and flew home yesterday. Since they have been overseas for 2 weeks, they aren’t aware of my new plans.. Horrible timing on my part, but I’ve been meaning to do this for 3 years and, at this point, it’s become necessary. Finally, next week is move-out week in this college town. I’ll be moving all of my personal belongings to the homestead over the next few days.

Anyways, I’m very excited to meet my new sister. So far she won’t let my dad hold her much, but word is she is very happy so far.

The Mainstreaming of Peak Oil

•7 August 2007 • Leave a Comment

My dad just received this email & forwarded it to me. There’s been a lot of discussion recently on theoildrum.com and energybulletin.net regarding how peak oil has gone ‘mainstream.’ This email is a huge, if anecdotal, sign of progress in bringing the issue into the public discussion. (though it’s probably mostly a result of the economic stress caused by 3.25$ gasoline)

[My Dad],

I thought of you when I read this after hearing you talk about your son’s interest in this topic. This looks like an article he would send to you.

[Dad’s Friend], Manager
Environmental Analysis, [State Gov.]

—–Original Message—–
From: [——]
Sent: Tuesday, August 07, 2007 8:26 AM
To: Energy Issues
Subject: CSM: why “peak oil” may pique your interest

from the August 06, 2007 edition – http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/0806/p15s01-wmgn.html
Why ‘peak oil’ may soon pique your interest
World oil production peaked in 2005, says one expert, and that presents serious problems in the future.
By David R. Francis | columnist, Christian Science Monitor
Do a Google search of the Web on “global warming” and it calls up more than 80 million references. Search for “peak oil” and the number exceeds 10 million.

In two years or so, world concern over crude oils supplies should be so great that a Google search on that subject probably will top that of global warming, predicts Matthew Simmons, chairman of Houston-based Simmons & Company International, an investment banking firm for the energy industry[…]

[…]Last Tuesday, the price of oil futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange set a record, rising as high as $78.40. That exceeded the previous high of $77.03 set in July 2006 at the onset of Israel’s war in Lebanon.

The world output of oil actually already peaked in May 2005 at 74.2 million barrels a day, says Mr. Simmons. Since then, production has fallen about 1 million barrels a day (MB/D). If that trend continues, the results for the world economy will be “so real, so devastating” that peak oil concerns will overwhelm slower-moving global warming in grabbing world attention.

That’s because today’s civilization hangs heavily on an adequate supply of oil. It, for instance, fuels most vehicles, heats many homes and businesses, and is used in many chemicals and plastics. Oil and natural gas now meets some 60 percent of the world’s primary energy needs[…]

[…]However, concern over the world’s oil supply is mounting. Last month, the International Energy Agency (IEA) issued a report warning that world oil demand will rise faster than previously expected. The result could be a supply crunch – “extremely tight,” one IEA economist told the BBC. The report sees world oil demand soaring 2.2 percent a year to 95.8 MB/D by 2012. That’s up from the 2 percent annual growth rate it forecast in February[…]

[…]In July, the National Petroleum Council, a federal advisory group representing the oil industry, published a 476-page study titled “Facing the Hard Truths About Energy.” Simmons, one of 350 participants who prepared the study, holds that its wording is not stern enough considering the statistics on the oil demand/supply situation it includes. The study states, “The world is not running out of energy resources, but there are accumulating risks to continuing expansion of oil and natural gas production from the conventional sources relied upon historically.”Simmons uses such terms as “hogwash” and “junk report” in describing the study.
For years, many in the oil industry viewed the peak oil forecasts by Simmons as odd. Now his position has a lot of company. Several websites publish sophisticated material on the issue. There’s the Oil Drum (www.theoildrum.com), featuring “Prof. Goose” and “Gail the Actuary.” Those pseudonyms hide a full professor at Colorado State University and an actuary in an Atlanta suburb. There’s also the Energy Bulletin (www.energybulletin.net). The site’s coeditor, Bart Anderson, say it receives 11,000 visits a day. Peak oil enthusiasts, he says, have now divided into a majority seeing life after an oil crunch and those he calls “doomers.”

In Britain, Douglas Low, director of the Oil Depletion Analysis Centre (www.odac-info.org), foresees a “crisis coming up” with a real shortage of oil. In June, he notes, the world used 1.5 MB/D more crude than it produced. He expects much higher oil prices in the future.

“It’s not a very happy message,” he says. “A lot of people want to slip it under the carpet.”

“..totally in line with what Peak Oil addicts would predict.”

•7 August 2007 • Leave a Comment


Mexico’s Cantarell oil field, the world’s second largest producer, is not just beginning to dry up, is falling dramatically, totally in line with what Peak Oil addicts would predict. Just in the last year daily production fell by 20 percent. It is now producing about 1.6 million barrels per day, down from two million a year ago. The estimation by some experts is that by 2010, Cantarel would produce less than half a millon barrels per day.

Petroleumworld 04 12 07

Yesterday This Day’s Madness did prepare

•6 August 2007 • Leave a Comment

The first line of this quatrain is the title of the most recent Electric Politics podcast

Yesterday This Day’s Madness did prepare;
To-morrow’s Silence, Triumph, or Despair:
Drink! for you know not whence you came, nor why:
Drink! for you know not why you go, nor where.

-Omar Khayyam